Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.491279 3.703907 3.931500 4.194802 4.493055 4.822912 5.218874
2025-06-08 3.155409 3.436070 3.752155 4.139555 4.608967 5.169804 5.907933
2025-06-15 2.933716 3.261619 3.646497 4.142008 4.779996 5.601004 6.790459
2025-06-22 2.700551 3.046913 3.465784 4.025340 4.780962 5.815306 7.448953
2025-06-29 2.489891 2.839530 3.271794 3.865659 4.698272 5.897584 7.941856
2025-07-06 2.344001 2.700155 3.149769 3.784504 4.708465 6.112124 8.717453
2025-07-13 2.296767 2.680895 3.179486 3.910028 5.031642 6.877042 10.816936
2025-07-20 2.228274 2.627773 3.157791 3.958142 5.243438 7.515054 13.098992
2025-07-27 2.208006 2.636094 3.219331 4.133835 5.691045 8.732491 18.129910
2025-08-03 2.166944 2.612383 3.232327 4.235067 6.031024 9.881366 25.319984
2025-08-10 2.088810 2.532046 3.156446 4.184777 6.083257 10.402695 31.588193
2025-08-17 1.983336 2.408079 3.008573 4.002877 5.855493 10.149761 32.755666
2025-08-24 1.902369 2.321785 2.921638 3.932445 5.873971 10.669883 44.061026
2025-08-31 1.835891 2.253253 2.857718 3.896223 5.960970 11.465810 72.010479
2025-09-07 1.785669 2.205655 2.822755 3.907218 6.154747 12.767635 239.685693
2025-09-14 1.714871 2.124661 2.730955 3.808206 6.087465 13.153215 3452.093543
2025-09-21 1.640292 2.035108 2.621114 3.667649 5.903572 13.012902 NaN
2025-09-28 1.585897 1.973261 2.551978 3.596441 5.873746 13.521509 NaN
2025-10-05 1.574015 1.973818 2.581929 3.712177 6.325003 16.751992 NaN
2025-10-12 1.548671 1.952733 2.575202 3.757055 6.612681 19.837075 NaN
2025-10-19 1.545500 1.964971 2.623846 3.917072 7.275788 28.087729 NaN
2025-10-26 1.530022 1.957284 2.638213 4.009175 7.783596 39.403911 NaN
2025-11-02 1.493309 1.914834 2.590397 3.964190 7.836824 45.462577 NaN